Here are some hints for you.....
* Odds over the last 20 years that the film with the most Oscar nominations has won Best Picture: 9 out of 10
* Odds in the last 10 years that a film winning a Best Picture Oscar won at least two of the three guild awards (Writers Guild, Producers Guild, Directors Guild) for which it was eligible: 4 in 5
* Odds in the last 20 years that the Directors Guild of America winner directed the Best Picture Oscar winner: 3 in 4
* Odds in the last 20 years that the Best Picture winner will also receive the Best Director award: 3 in 4
* Odds in the last 20 years that the Best Picture winner will also receive the Best Actor award: 1 in 4
* Odds in the last 20 years that the Best Picture winner will also receive the Best Actress award: 1 in 5
* Odds, in the last 20 years, that the Best Picture winner will have no acting nominations whatsoever: 3 in 20